Ajax vs Excelsior: result 4-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 3, 2011 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Excelsior?
Ajax won 4-1 on December 3, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 11′J. VertonghenAjax
- 38′J. VertonghenAjax
- 45′Darren MaatsenExcelsior
- 63′M. SulejmaniAjax (pen.)
- 67′N. LodeiroAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Excelsior have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2011 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 22, 2011 | Lyon(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 19, 2011 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Utrecht(away) | 4-6 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2011 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2011 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 4, 2011 | VVV Venlo(away) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Heracles(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2011 | NAC Breda(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ajax win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2011 | Ajax 4-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Oct 24, 2010 | Excelsior 2-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 6th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy