Ajax vs Getafe: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Ajax the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Getafe. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajax vs Getafe?
Ajax starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (2,111 vs 1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ajax vs Getafe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ajax
4-3-3- 10O. Gloukh
- 99T. Arokodare
- 11V. Tsygankov
- 8J. Brandt
- 24J. Mokio
- 18D. Klaassen
- 15Y. Baas
- 6T. Kehrer
- 2Lucas Rosa
- 5O. Wijndal
- 1M. ter Stegen
Getafe
5-4-1- 20Iván Azón
- 11Ramón Terrats
- 16Francho Serrano
- 21Andrés García
- 6Mario Martín
- 2D. Dakonam
- 24Z. Romero
- 22J. Mojica
- 8N. Gudelj
- 17Kiko Femenía
- 13David Soria
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Getafe have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 0-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ajax win, 0 draws, 1 Getafe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | Ajax 2-1 Getafe | UEFA Europa League |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Getafe 2-0 Ajax | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 3.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 3.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Getafe | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ajax vs Getafe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajax vs Getafe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ajax the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Getafe.
- Where and when is Ajax vs Getafe played?
- Ajax vs Getafe is played on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Johan Cruijff Arena, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.