GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
The Footlab model makes Ajax the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for GO Ahead Eagles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax?
Ajax starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,110 vs 1,955).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GO Ahead Eagles have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ajax have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Shelbourne(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Shelbourne(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 GO Ahead Eagles win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Ajax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Ajax 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Aug 17, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 2-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Ajax 2-0 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles 1-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Ajax 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Jan 14, 2024 | GO Ahead Eagles 2-3 Ajax | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GO Ahead Eagles score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ajax | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GO Ahead Eagles sit 3rd in Eredivisie (7 points from 3 matches) and Ajax sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GO Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax?
- The Footlab model makes Ajax the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for GO Ahead Eagles.
- Where and when is GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax played?
- GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at De Adelaarshorst, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.