FC Lugano vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for FC Lugano. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Lugano vs St. Truiden?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate FC Lugano (1,957) and St. Truiden (2,042).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Lugano vs St. Truiden
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Lugano
3-4-2-1- 27Daniel Dos Santos
- 8A. Grgić
- 21Y. Cimignani
- 2B. Karimov
- 25U. Bislimi
- 46M. Zanotti
- 22B. Castro
- 6A. Papadopoulos
- 17L. Mai
- 3H. Delcroix
- 16D. von Ballmoos
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 9S. Baždar
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 14R. Merlen
- 18N. Ishiwatari
- 11N. Mbuku
- 60R. Vanwesemael
- 5S. Taniguchi
- 26V. Musliu
- 23J. Pupe
- 16L. Kokubo
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lugano have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; St. Truiden have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pully Football(away) | 4-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 4-0 | Super League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lausanne(away) | 4-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lugano score 3.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 3.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Lugano sit 8th in UEFA Europa Conference League (3 points from 1 match) and St. Truiden sit 6th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
A question about FC Lugano vs St. Truiden?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Lugano vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for FC Lugano.
- Where and when is FC Lugano vs St. Truiden played?
- FC Lugano vs St. Truiden is played on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio di Cornaredo, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.