FC Midtjylland vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)MCH Arena, Herning
The Footlab AI model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for HNK Hajduk Split. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs HNK Hajduk Split?
FC Midtjylland starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (2,150 vs 1,973).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Hajduk Split
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Midtjylland
3-4-1-2- 90F. Etim
- 18S. Iheanacho
- 19P. Bravo
- 8P. Billing
- 98D. Martínez
- 21D. Castillo
- 29K. Wätjen
- 22M. Bech
- 5R. Kristensen
- 3M. Jensen
- 1E. Ólafsson
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1- 11M. Šego
- 23M. Šotiček
- 9Dali
- 7A. Sanyang
- 20Alberto del Moral
- 8K. Fayad
- 15D. Marešić
- 14R. Raci
- 32Š. Hrgović
- 22M. Acapandié
- 33T. Silić
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; HNK Hajduk Split have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Odense(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Brondby(home) | 4-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sundby(away) | 7-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Vardarac(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rudes(away) | 4-0 | HNL |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Midtjylland score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about FC Midtjylland vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for HNK Hajduk Split.
- Where and when is FC Midtjylland vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
- FC Midtjylland vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at MCH Arena, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.