Ajax vs Heerenveen: result 4-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 11, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Heerenveen?
Ajax won 4-1 on March 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 31′M. de LigtAjax
- 33′M. ØdegaardHeerenveen
- 59′N. TagliaficoAjax
- 88′D. van de BeekAjax
- 90′David NeresAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Heerenveen have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | Vitesse(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 25, 2018 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 18, 2018 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Twente(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 7, 2018 | Roda(away) | 4-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | Willem II(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 24, 2018 | Excelsior(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 17, 2018 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Roda(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 6, 2018 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Ajax win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Heerenveen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | Heerenveen 0-4 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Apr 16, 2017 | Ajax 5-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Heerenveen 0-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Apr 20, 2016 | Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Ajax 5-2 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 15, 2015 | Heerenveen 1-4 Ajax | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Heerenveen | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 6th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Heerenveen sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy