Ajax vs Manchester City: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 3Kick-off on October 24, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Manchester City?
Ajax won 3-1 on October 24, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 22′Samir NasriManchester City
- 45′S. de JongAjax
- 57′N. MoisanderAjax
- 68′C. EriksenAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Manchester City have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | Heracles(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Utrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Twente(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 23, 2012 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | West Brom(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Sunderland(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Fulham(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2012 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester City score 2.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Manchester City | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 32nd in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 8 matches) and Manchester City sit 8th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy