Ajax vs Napoli: result 1-6 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup A - 3Kick-off on October 4, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Full time
What was the result of Ajax vs Napoli?
Napoli won 1-6 on October 4, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 9′M. KudusAjax
- 18′G. RaspadoriNapoli
- 33′G. Di LorenzoNapoli
- 45′P. ZielińskiNapoli
- 47′G. RaspadoriNapoli
- 63′K. KvaratskheliaNapoli
- 81′G. SimeoneNapoli
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Napoli have 10, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Liverpool(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Heerenveen(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Rangers(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Torino(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2022 | AC Milan(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Rangers(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Spezia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Liverpool(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Napoli score 2.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Napoli | 2.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 32nd in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 8 matches) and Napoli sit 30th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy