Venezia vs Napoli: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Venezia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Napoli wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venezia vs Napoli?
Napoli starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (2,147 vs 1,972).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Venezia vs Napoli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Venezia
3-5-2- 45A. Adams
- 10J. Yeboah
- 71Kike Pérez
- 18A. Hainaut
- 19S. Sohm
- 6G. Busio
- 14Thierry Correia
- 3J. Schingtienne
- 2M. Moreno
- 5R. Haps
- 1F. Stanković
Napoli
4-2-3-1- 19R. Højlund
- 21M. Politano
- 68S. Lobotka
- 6B. Gilmour
- 11K. De Bruyne
- 70N. Lang
- 13Amir Rrahmani
- 22G. Di Lorenzo
- 16Rafa Marín
- 17M. Olivera
- 32V. Milinković-Savić
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venezia have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Napoli have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 28, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Inter(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Como(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Venezia wins, 1 draw, 3 Napoli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Venezia 0-0 Napoli | Serie A |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Napoli 1-0 Venezia | Serie A |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Venezia 0-2 Napoli | Serie A |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Napoli 2-0 Venezia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Venezia score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Napoli score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 2.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Napoli | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venezia sit 20th in Serie A (0 points from 5 matches) and Napoli sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
A question about Venezia vs Napoli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venezia vs Napoli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Napoli the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Venezia.
- Where and when is Venezia vs Napoli played?
- Venezia vs Napoli is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.