Ajax vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Ajax the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ajax vs PEC Zwolle?
Ajax starts as the favourite with a 276-point Elo edge (2,090 vs 1,814).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ajax vs PEC Zwolle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ajax
4-3-3- 99T. Arokodare
- 11V. Tsygankov
- 10O. Gloukh
- 8J. Brandt
- 24J. Mokio
- 4S. Amrabat
- 15Y. Baas
- 6T. Kehrer
- 2Lucas Rosa
- 5O. Wijndal
- 1M. ter Stegen
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 10K. Kostons
- 8T. Sommer
- 11D. Mbayo
- 22I. Cissoko
- 25T. Oosting
- 30R. Thomas
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 2S. Floranus
- 1J. Schendelaar
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ajax have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ajax wins, 1 draw, 1 PEC Zwolle win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | PEC Zwolle 0-2 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Mar 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle 0-0 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Ajax 3-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Mar 9, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 0-1 Ajax | Eredivisie |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Ajax 2-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Jul 5, 2024 | Ajax 0-1 PEC Zwolle | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Ajax score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ajax sit 5th in Eredivisie (15 points from 8 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 16th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 15 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
A question about Ajax vs PEC Zwolle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ajax vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ajax the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is Ajax vs PEC Zwolle played?
- Ajax vs PEC Zwolle is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Johan Cruijff Arena, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.