PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Heerenveen have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Twente(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PEC Zwolle win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Heerenveen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen 0-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Heerenveen 4-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 28, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 2-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Heerenveen 4-1 PEC Zwolle | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Heerenveen 1-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 14th in Eredivisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Heerenveen sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen played?
- PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.