PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heerenveen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,605 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?
Heerenveen starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (2,088 vs 1,912).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 17S. van Hooijdonk
- 11D. Mbayo
- 8T. Sommer
- 30R. Thomas
- 37Gilles van der Wal
- 25T. Oosting
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 33D. van der Haar
- 1J. Schendelaar
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 7M. Rivera
- 20J. Trenskow
- 8N. Courtens
- 16M. Linday
- 14L. Smans
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 45O. Braude
- 3M. Willemsen
- 1B. Klaverboer
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Heerenveen have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PEC Zwolle wins, 2 draws, 2 Heerenveen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heerenveen 0-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Heerenveen 4-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Nov 28, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 2-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Heerenveen 4-1 PEC Zwolle | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Heerenveen 1-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Heerenveen score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Heerenveen | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 14th in Eredivisie (11 points from 11 matches) and Heerenveen sit 7th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 11 |
A question about PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heerenveen the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen played?
- PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.