Aksakovo vs Volov Shumen: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Aksakovo stadium, Aksakovo
The Footlab model makes Volov Shumen the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Aksakovo. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aksakovo vs Volov Shumen?
Volov Shumen starts as the favourite with a 219-point Elo edge (1,597 vs 1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aksakovo have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Volov Shumen have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 7-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 9-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Aksakovo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Volov Shumen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Volov Shumen 4-1 Aksakovo | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Aksakovo 0-2 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Volov Shumen vs Aksakovo on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aksakovo score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Volov Shumen score 3.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aksakovo | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Volov Shumen | 3.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aksakovo sit 14th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Volov Shumen sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Volov Shumen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aksakovo vs Volov Shumen?
- The Footlab model makes Volov Shumen the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Aksakovo.
- Where and when is Aksakovo vs Volov Shumen played?
- Aksakovo vs Volov Shumen is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Aksakovo stadium, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.