Olympic Varna vs Riltzi: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Olympic Varna the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Riltzi. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Varna vs Riltzi?
On Elo ratings, Olympic Varna has 1,343 points and Riltzi 1,280.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olympic Varna vs Riltzi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olympic Varna
Not enough data to predict the Olympic Varna lineup.
Riltzi
Not enough data to predict the Riltzi lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Varna have 5 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; Riltzi have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cherno more II(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 3-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cherno more II(away) | 2-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-6 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Olympic Varna wins, 0 draws, 0 Riltzi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Olympic Varna 2-1 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Riltzi 0-2 Olympic Varna | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Olympic Varna vs Riltzi on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Varna score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Riltzi score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Varna | 1.6 | 2.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Riltzi | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympic Varna sit 13th in Third League - Northeast (9 points from 9 matches) and Riltzi sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 9 |
A question about Olympic Varna vs Riltzi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Varna vs Riltzi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Olympic Varna the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Riltzi.
- Where and when is Olympic Varna vs Riltzi played?
- Olympic Varna vs Riltzi is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.