Septemvri Dragoevo vs Fratria II: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Septemvri Dragoevo the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Fratria II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Dragoevo vs Fratria II?
Septemvri Dragoevo starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,473 vs 1,280).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Dragoevo have 1 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Fratria II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aksakovo(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-6 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-7 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Dragoevo score 4.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 1; Fratria II score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Dragoevo | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Fratria II | 1.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Dragoevo sit 3rd in Third League - Northeast (3 points from 1 matches) and Fratria II sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Dragoevo vs Fratria II?
- The Footlab model makes Septemvri Dragoevo the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Fratria II.
- Where and when is Septemvri Dragoevo vs Fratria II played?
- Septemvri Dragoevo vs Fratria II is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.