Cherno more II vs Benkovski Isperih: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Cherno More Sports Complex, Varna
The Footlab model makes Cherno more II the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Benkovski Isperih. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherno more II vs Benkovski Isperih?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Cherno more II (1,547) and Benkovski Isperih (1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherno more II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Benkovski Isperih have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cherno more II win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Benkovski Isperih win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih 0-2 Cherno more II | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Cherno more II 1-1 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
| May 22, 2025 | Benkovski Isperih 1-1 Cherno more II | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Cherno more II 1-1 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Benkovski Isperih 0-1 Cherno more II | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Cherno more II 3-0 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Benkovski Isperih vs Cherno more II on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherno more II score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Benkovski Isperih score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno more II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Benkovski Isperih | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cherno more II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherno more II vs Benkovski Isperih?
- The Footlab model makes Cherno more II the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Benkovski Isperih.
- Where and when is Cherno more II vs Benkovski Isperih played?
- Cherno more II vs Benkovski Isperih is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Cherno More Sports Complex, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.