Aktobe vs Zhenys: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ortalyq stadıon, Aqtöbe (Aktobe)
The Footlab model makes Aktobe the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Zhenys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aktobe vs Zhenys?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Aktobe (1,611) and Zhenys (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aktobe have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Zhenys have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaisar(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atyrau(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyzyl-Zhar(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Okzhetpes(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Altay(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kaisar(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Yelimay Semey(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kaisar(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kaspiy(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aktobe win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Zhenys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zhenys 1-0 Aktobe | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Aktobe 0-2 Zhenys | Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | Zhenys 0-1 Aktobe | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Zhenys 1-0 Aktobe | Cup |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Zhenys 1-2 Aktobe | Premier League |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Aktobe 3-0 Zhenys | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Aktobe score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zhenys score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aktobe | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Zhenys | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aktobe sit 5th in Premier League (35 points from 22 matches) and Zhenys sit 8th (26 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aktobe | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 35 |
| 8 | Zhenys | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aktobe vs Zhenys?
- The Footlab model makes Aktobe the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Zhenys.
- Where and when is Aktobe vs Zhenys played?
- Aktobe vs Zhenys is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ortalyq stadıon, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.