Al-Adalah vs Al-Raed: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al Ahsa
The Footlab model makes Al-Raed the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Al-Adalah. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Adalah vs Al-Raed?
Al-Raed starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Adalah have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Raed have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Jubail(home) | 2-0 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Abha(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Anwar(home) | 2-1 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Orubah(away) | 1-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 0-2 | King's Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 5-1 | Division 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-2 | Division 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al-Adalah win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Al-Raed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Al-Raed 6-3 Al-Adalah | Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Al-Adalah 4-4 Al-Raed | Division 1 |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Al-Adalah 0-3 Al-Raed | Pro League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Al-Raed 2-1 Al-Adalah | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Al-Adalah 1-1 Al-Raed | Pro League |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Al-Raed 1-0 Al-Adalah | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Adalah score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Raed score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Adalah | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Raed | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Adalah sit 8th in Division 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Al-Raed sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Raed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Adalah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Adalah vs Al-Raed?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Raed the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Al-Adalah.
- Where and when is Al-Adalah vs Al-Raed played?
- Al-Adalah vs Al-Raed is played on December 1, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.