Damac vs Al Jeel: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Dhamak Club Stadium, Khamis Mushait
The Footlab model makes Damac the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al Jeel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Damac vs Al Jeel?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Damac (1,717) and Al Jeel (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Damac have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Al Jeel have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Saqer(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-4 | Pro League |
| May 15, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| May 10, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Zulfi(home) | 0-2 | Division 1 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Al Saqer(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Al Sharq(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Najoom(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Jubbah(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Damac win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al Jeel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | Damac 2-1 Al Jeel | King's Cup |
| Jan 30, 2019 | Al Jeel 3-3 Damac | Division 1 |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Damac 1-0 Al Jeel | Division 1 |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Damac 2-1 Al Jeel | Division 1 |
| Oct 20, 2016 | Al Jeel 4-0 Damac | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Damac score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Jeel score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damac | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Jeel | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Damac sit 12th in Division 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Jeel sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Damac | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Al Jeel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Damac vs Al Jeel?
- The Footlab model makes Damac the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Al Jeel.
- Where and when is Damac vs Al Jeel played?
- Damac vs Al Jeel is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Dhamak Club Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.