Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab model makes Al Ahli Doha the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Al-Sailiya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Al Ahli Doha (1,694) and Al-Sailiya (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahli Doha have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Sailiya have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | UMM Salal(away) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-5 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sharjah FC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ahli Doha win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Al-Sailiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha 2-2 Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Al-Sailiya 2-1 Al Ahli Doha | QSL Cup |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Al-Sailiya 1-2 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Al Ahli Doha 0-4 Al-Sailiya | Stars League |
| Jan 12, 2023 | Al-Sailiya 1-2 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Al-Sailiya 2-3 Al Ahli Doha | QSL Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahli Doha score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Sailiya score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Al-Sailiya | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahli Doha sit 11th in Stars League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al-Sailiya sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahli Doha the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Al-Sailiya.
- Where and when is Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya played?
- Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya is played on October 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.