Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Khwar Stadium, Al-Khor
The Footlab model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Al Shamal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Al Shamal (1,714) and Al-Duhail SC (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shamal have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Duhail SC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 4-6 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(home) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| May 5, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 1-4 | Emir Cup |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al Shamal win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Al-Duhail SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Al Shamal 1-3 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Al-Duhail SC 2-0 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Al-Duhail SC 0-4 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Al Shamal 2-6 Al-Duhail SC | Stars League |
| May 6, 2024 | Al-Duhail SC 3-1 Al Shamal | Emir Cup |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Al-Duhail SC 3-1 Al Shamal | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shamal score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Duhail SC score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shamal | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Duhail SC | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shamal sit 8th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al-Duhail SC sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Duhail SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Al Shamal.
- Where and when is Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC played?
- Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC is played on October 8, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Khwar Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.