Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Al Ahli Doha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Shamal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,359 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal?
On Elo ratings, Al Ahli Doha has 1,670 points and Al Shamal 1,738.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ahli Doha
4-1-4-1- 10Erik Expósito
- 7J. Draxler
- 27B. Bourigeaud
- 33D. Fettouhi
- 6Luiz Ceará
- 23N. Sliti
- 41Ahmed Reyed
- 88A. Amraoui
- 16R. Tihi
- 12Ghanem Al Minhali
- 13Mohamed Lingliz
Al Shamal
4-2-3-1- 11B. Bounedjah
- 70Tiago Silva
- 28N. Benaïssa
- 26R. Mahrez
- 22W. Saïd
- 5M. Ben Romdhane
- 4Pablo Marí
- 37Ahmed Suhail
- 2Moufak Awad
- 3Abdelkarim Hassan
- 95B. Seck
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahli Doha have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shamal have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(home) | 5-0 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(home) | 5-0 | Stars League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-4 | Stars League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 2-3 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ahli Doha wins, 1 draw, 2 Al Shamal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha 4-2 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Al Shamal 0-1 Al Ahli Doha | QSL Cup |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Al Shamal 2-0 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 1-1 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Al Shamal 2-4 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Al Shamal 2-1 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal on Jan 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahli Doha score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shamal score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Al Shamal | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahli Doha sit 7th in Stars League (12 points from 9 matches) and Al Shamal sit 6th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Shamal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Ahli Doha | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
A question about Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Al Ahli Doha.
- Where and when is Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal played?
- Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.