Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Al Ahli Doha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Al Ahli Doha (1,694) and Al Shamal (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahli Doha have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shamal have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | UMM Salal(away) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-5 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 4-6 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Ahli Doha win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Al Shamal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha 4-2 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Al Shamal 0-1 Al Ahli Doha | QSL Cup |
| Aug 14, 2025 | Al Shamal 2-0 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 1-1 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Al Shamal 2-4 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Al Shamal 2-1 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal on Jan 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahli Doha score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shamal score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Al Shamal | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahli Doha sit 11th in Stars League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Shamal sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal?
- The Footlab model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Al Ahli Doha.
- Where and when is Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal played?
- Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.