Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, Al Ahsa
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ahli Jeddah is a heavy favourite: 2,021 Elo points against 1,711, a 311-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Fateh
4-2-3-1- 9W. Kanga
- 28Z. Youssouf
- 10L. Haraslín
- 8M. Lixandru
- 80Faisal Al Abdulwahed
- 11M. Batna
- 16Abdulelah Al Khaibari
- 3K. Boateng
- 22Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
- 78Abdulaziz Al Suwailem
- 1A. Šemper
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1- 17I. Toney
- 7Trincão
- 8E. Spertsyan
- 6V. Atangana Edoa
- 13Galeno
- 9Feras Al Brikan
- 28M. Demiral
- 3Ibañez
- 15Saeed Baattia
- 2Zakaria Al Hawsawi
- 1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
Known absences
É. MendyOut · Knee injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Fateh have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Al-Ahli Jeddah have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Taawon(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-2 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 5-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Fateh wins, 1 draw, 2 Al-Ahli Jeddah wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-0 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Al-Fateh 1-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Al-Fateh 5-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Fateh sit 15th in Pro League (3 points from 7 matches) and Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 12 |
| 15 | Al-Fateh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 3 |
A question about Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ahli Jeddah the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah played?
- Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah is played on October 9, 2026 at 02:55 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.