Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Al-Ahli Jeddah. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Nassr wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Al-Ahli Jeddah (2,021) and Al-Nassr (2,063).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1- 17I. Toney
- 7Trincão
- 8E. Spertsyan
- 6V. Atangana Edoa
- 13Galeno
- 9Feras Al Brikan
- 28M. Demiral
- 3Ibañez
- 15Saeed Baattia
- 2Zakaria Al Hawsawi
- 1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi
Known absences
É. MendyOut · Knee injury
Al-Nassr
4-4-2- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
- 79João Félix
- 10S. Mané
- 11Samú Costa
- 20Ângelo
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 5Abdulelah Al Amri
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 6Saad Al Nasser
- 24Bento
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ahli Jeddah have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Nassr have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-2 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Riyadh(home) | 5-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al Ain(away) | 0-4 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Abha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(away) | 1-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Al Taawon(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah win, 2 draws, 3 Al-Nassr wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Al-Nassr 2-0 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 3-2 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Al-Nassr 2-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Super Cup |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 2-3 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah | Pro League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Al-Ahli Jeddah 0-1 Al-Nassr | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli Jeddah on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ahli Jeddah score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Nassr score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Nassr | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6th in Pro League (12 points from 7 matches) and Al-Nassr sit 3rd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Nassr the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- Where and when is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr played?
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr is played on October 15, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.