Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Al Shabab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab?
Al-Ittihad FC starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (2,010 vs 1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ittihad FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Al Shabab have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Al Wehda Club(away) | 2-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 1-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al-Ittihad FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Al Shabab win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Al Shabab 3-2 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 2-0 Al Shabab | Pro League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 4-1 Al Shabab | King's Cup |
| May 20, 2025 | Al Shabab 2-3 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 3-2 Al Shabab | King's Cup |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 Al Shabab | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ittihad FC score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shabab score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad FC | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Shabab | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ittihad FC sit 7th in Pro League (4 points from 2 matches) and Al Shabab sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Al Shabab.
- Where and when is Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab played?
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.