Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC is a heavy favourite: 2,185 Elo points against 1,719 — a 466-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Hilal Saudi FC have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 0-4 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al Zulfi(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 2-4 | Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Okhdood(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Al-Raed(away) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(home) | 4-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | MC Alger(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Riyadh win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Al Riyadh 1-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Al Riyadh 0-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Al Riyadh 1-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 6-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Hilal Saudi FC score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 18th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Al Riyadh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.