Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Al-Hilal Saudi FC is a heavy favourite: 2,146 Elo points against 1,712, a 435-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1- 7Trézéguet
- 10T. Okou
- 22V. Lekhal
- 14Essam Bahri
- 6K. Keita
- 19A. M. Al Harthi
- 12Sulaiman Hazazi
- 67Mohammed Al Khaibari
- 26R. Abascal
- 79F. Al Jayzani
- 82M. Borjan
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-3-3- 38C. Summerville
- 7Gabriel Martinelli
- 11O. Watkins
- 22S. Milinković-Savić
- 8Rúben Neves
- 28Mohamed Kanno
- 3K. Koulibaly
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
- 24Moteb Al Harbi
- 87Hassan Tambakti
- 37Y. Bounou
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riyadh have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Hilal Saudi FC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-5 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-3 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(home) | 2-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Taawon(away) | 6-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 3-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Riyadh wins, 2 draws, 4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Al Riyadh 1-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-0 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Al Riyadh 0-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Al Riyadh 1-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC | Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC 6-1 Al Riyadh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riyadh score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Hilal Saudi FC score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 1.2 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Riyadh sit 11th in Pro League (8 points from 7 matches) and Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Hilal Saudi FC the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC played?
- Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.