Where and when is Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol played?

Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol is played on December 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at WE Al-Ahly Stadium, in the Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)WE Al-Ahly Stadium, Cairo

Al Ahly

Asyut Petrol

The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Asyut Petrol. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol?

Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 280-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,751).

Al Ahly win55 %

Draw28 %

Asyut Petrol win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahly have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Asyut Petrol have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Al Ahly
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Enppi(home)	3-2	Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Barcelona(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026	AL Masry(away)	2-0	Premier League
May 5, 2026	Enppi(home)	3-0	Premier League
May 1, 2026	Zamalek SC(away)	3-0	Premier League

Asyut Petrol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Petrojet(home)	1-1	Premier League
May 14, 2026	Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home)	1-0	Second League
May 7, 2026	El Mansura(away)	1-1	Second League
Apr 30, 2026	Raya Ghazl(home)	1-0	Second League
Apr 23, 2026	Tersana(away)	1-3	Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Al Ahly score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Asyut Petrol score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Al Ahly	1.6	1.1	5	8/15	9/15
Asyut Petrol	1.5	0.9	5	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Al Ahly sit 2nd in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Asyut Petrol sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Al Ahly	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
7	Asyut Petrol	1	0	1	0	1	1	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol?: The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Asyut Petrol.
Where and when is Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol played?: Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol is played on December 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at WE Al-Ahly Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.