Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)WE Al-Ahly Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Asyut Petrol. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol?
Al Ahly is a heavy favourite: 2,083 Elo points against 1,737, a 346-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Ahly
4-2-3-1- 10M. Bakrar
- 25Zizo
- 17A. Bencharki
- 13Marwan Attia
- 15Omar El Saeey
- 12Akram Tawfik
- 2Yassin Marei
- 24Tawfik Mohamed
- 30Mohamed Hany
- 5Hady Reyad
- 31Mostafa Shobeir
Asyut Petrol
4-3-3- 7Ahmed Younes
- 35C. C. Bodne
- 9M. Eid
- 19I. Abbas
- 18Mohamed Hesha
- 11Mostafa Sadafa
- 24Mahmoud Alaa
- 20A. Shokry
- 12Zeyad Tarek
- 6Ahmed Magdy
- 1Amgad Youssef
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahly have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Asyut Petrol have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Nov 2, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 4-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 0-5 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Al Ahly win, 0 draws, 0 Asyut Petrol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol 0-5 Al Ahly | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Asyut Petrol vs Al Ahly on Oct 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahly score 2.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Asyut Petrol score 0.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahly | 2.2 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Asyut Petrol | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahly sit 2nd in Premier League (20 points from 8 matches) and Asyut Petrol sit 18th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 18 | Asyut Petrol | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Asyut Petrol.
- Where and when is Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol played?
- Al Ahly vs Asyut Petrol is played on December 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at WE Al-Ahly Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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