El Gouna FC vs Abu Qair Semad: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Khaled Bichara Stadium, El-Gouna
The Footlab model makes El Gouna FC the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Abu Qair Semad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Gouna FC vs Abu Qair Semad?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate El Gouna FC (1,826) and Abu Qair Semad (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Gouna FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Abu Qair Semad have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Future FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Petrojet(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2026 | El Geish(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(home) | 4-0 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Tersana(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | La Viena FC(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Itesalat(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
El Gouna FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Abu Qair Semad score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Gouna FC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Abu Qair Semad | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Gouna FC sit 9th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Abu Qair Semad sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Abu Qair Semad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Gouna FC vs Abu Qair Semad?
- The Footlab model makes El Gouna FC the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Abu Qair Semad.
- Where and when is El Gouna FC vs Abu Qair Semad played?
- El Gouna FC vs Abu Qair Semad is played on December 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Khaled Bichara Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.