Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Ceramica Cleopatra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly?
Al Ahly starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ceramica Cleopatra have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Al Ahly have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | AL Masry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Smouha SC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Enppi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ceramica Cleopatra win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Al Ahly win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Al Ahly | League Cup |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Al Ahly 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra | Super Cup |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Al Ahly 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra | Premier League |
| May 13, 2025 | Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Al Ahly | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Al Ahly 5-2 Ceramica Cleopatra | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ceramica Cleopatra score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahly score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceramica Cleopatra | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Ahly | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ceramica Cleopatra sit 16th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Ahly sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly?
- The Footlab model makes Al Ahly the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Ceramica Cleopatra.
- Where and when is Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly played?
- Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Ahly is played on December 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Cairo International Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.