AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Ismaïlia Stadium, Ismailia
The Footlab model makes AL Masry the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
AL Masry starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,923 vs 1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AL Masry have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ghazl El Mehalla have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Masr(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| May 25, 2026 | Masr(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 29, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Future FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AL Masry win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Ghazl El Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | AL Masry 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 AL Masry | League Cup |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 AL Masry | Premier League |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 AL Masry | Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2023 | AL Masry 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| May 11, 2022 | AL Masry 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla on Sep 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AL Masry score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ghazl El Mehalla score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Masry | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AL Masry sit 4th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Ghazl El Mehalla sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AL Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes AL Masry the favourite at 47%, against 32% for a draw and 21% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla played?
- AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla is played on December 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Ismaïlia Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.