AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 11Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Ismaïlia Stadium, Ismailia
The Footlab AI model makes AL Masry the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Ghazl El Mehalla. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
AL Masry starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,755).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AL Masry
4-2-3-1- 9Salah Mohsen
- 27A. Ziani
- 30A. Deghmoum
- 6Mohamed Makhlouf
- 11Mohamed El Shamy
- 4Yassin El Mallah
- 7Karim El Eraki
- 2B. El Mohamady
- 3Mohamed Shokry
- 29Mohamed Hashem
- 26Mohamed El Sayed
Ghazl El Mehalla
4-2-3-1- 63Abdel Kader Yehia
- 20M. Touré
- 17Abdel Rahman Osama
- 22Ahmed Etman
- 30Amr Gomaa
- 44A. Yasser
- 3Ahmed El Aash
- 12Yehia Zakaria
- 23F. Nechat Djabri
- 5Abdel Fattah Sheta
- 16Amer Amer
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 04:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AL Masry have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ghazl El Mehalla have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Misr EL Makasa(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 28, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Smouha SC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AL Masry win, 4 draws, 1 Ghazl El Mehalla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | AL Masry 2-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 AL Masry | League Cup |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 AL Masry | Premier League |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 AL Masry | Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2023 | AL Masry 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
| May 11, 2022 | AL Masry 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla on Sep 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AL Masry score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ghazl El Mehalla score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL Masry | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ghazl El Mehalla | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AL Masry sit 12th in Premier League (9 points from 8 matches) and Ghazl El Mehalla sit 17th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | AL Masry | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 7 |
A question about AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
- The Footlab AI model makes AL Masry the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Ghazl El Mehalla.
- Where and when is AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla played?
- AL Masry vs Ghazl El Mehalla is played on December 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Ismaïlia Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.