Al Ahly vs Real Madrid: result 1-4 and analysis
FIFA Club World CupSemi-finalsKick-off on February 8, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat
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What was the result of Al Ahly vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 1-4 on February 8, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 42′Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid
- 46′F. ValverdeReal Madrid
- 65′A. MaâloulAl Ahly (pen.)
- 90′RodrygoReal Madrid
- 90′Sergio ArribasReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Ahly have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Real Madrid have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 1-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Auckland City(home) | 3-0 | FIFA Club World Cup |
| Jan 24, 2023 | National Bank of Egypt(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Zamalek SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2023 | Smouha SC(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Mallorca(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Valencia(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Real Sociedad(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Athletic Club(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Ahly score 1.8 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahly | 1.8 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Madrid | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Ahly sit 4th in FIFA Club World Cup (2 points from 3 matches) and Real Madrid sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Ahly | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy