Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is a heavy favourite: 2,278 Elo points against 1,975, a 303-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 15Pablo García
- 18M. Prati
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 8F. Valverde
- 5J. Bellingham
- 15A. Güler
- 14A. Tchouaméni
- 16I. Konaté
- 4D. Huijsen
- 17Marc Cucurella
- 24D. Dumfries
- 1T. Courtois
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Real Madrid have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Elche(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Elche(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Racing Santander wins, 1 draw, 3 Real Madrid wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Real Madrid 4-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Racing Santander 0-0 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Mar 6, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-3 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Oct 23, 2010 | Real Madrid 6-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Racing Santander on Feb 18, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 16th in La Liga (7 points from 7 matches) and Real Madrid sit 4th (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 15 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Real Madrid played?
- Racing Santander vs Real Madrid is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.