Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid starts as the favourite with a 286-point Elo edge (2,340 vs 2,054).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Real Madrid have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Racing Santander win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Real Madrid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Real Madrid 4-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Racing Santander 0-0 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Mar 6, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-3 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Oct 23, 2010 | Real Madrid 6-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Racing Santander on Feb 18, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 14th in La Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Real Madrid sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
- The Footlab model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Real Madrid played?
- Racing Santander vs Real Madrid is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.