Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium), Doha
The Footlab model makes Al-Rayyan SC the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Al-Arabi SC. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC?
Al-Rayyan SC starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Arabi SC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Al-Rayyan SC have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-4 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-4 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 1-0 | Stars League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 0-3 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Arabi SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al-Rayyan SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC 4-0 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Al-Arabi SC 2-2 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Al-Rayyan SC 2-1 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Al-Arabi SC 2-1 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Al-Rayyan SC 3-0 Al-Arabi SC | QSL Cup |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Al-Arabi SC 2-3 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Arabi SC on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Arabi SC score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Rayyan SC score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Arabi SC | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 2.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Arabi SC sit 5th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al-Rayyan SC sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Rayyan SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Al-Arabi SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Rayyan SC the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Al-Arabi SC.
- Where and when is Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC played?
- Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC is played on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.