Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab model makes Al-Sailiya the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Lusail City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Al-Sailiya (1,602) and Lusail City (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Sailiya have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lusail City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Sharjah FC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-1 | Stars League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 1-2 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Sailiya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Lusail City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2025 | Lusail City 0-0 Al-Sailiya | Second Division |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Al-Sailiya 2-3 Lusail City | Second Division |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Al-Sailiya 1-1 Lusail City | Second Division |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Lusail City 0-1 Al-Sailiya | Second Division |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Lusail City 2-3 Al-Sailiya | QFA Cup |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Lusail City 0-1 Al-Sailiya | QFA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lusail City vs Al-Sailiya on Feb 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Sailiya score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lusail City score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Sailiya | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lusail City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Sailiya sit 12th in Stars League (0 points from 1 matches) and Lusail City sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lusail City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Sailiya the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Lusail City.
- Where and when is Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City played?
- Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City is played on November 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.