Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium), Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Arabi SC the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Al-Gharafa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Arabi SC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi SC?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Al-Gharafa (1,699) and Al-Arabi SC (1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Gharafa
4-2-3-1- 90A. Hassan
- 29F. Díaz
- 96A. Ounas
- 8Y. Brahimi
- 10I. Bennacer
- 13F. Sassi
- 4S. Sano
- 23Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla
- 18Ayoub Al Oui
- 6Dame Traoré
- 1Khalifa Ababacar
Al-Arabi SC
4-2-3-1- 14M. Olunga
- 7Pablo Sarabia
- 8Ahmed Fathi
- 17J. Veretout
- 80I. Lihadji
- 6O. Tannane
- 25A. Pérez
- 2Marwan Hassan
- 22K. Bauobida
- 5Simo
- 31Jasem Al Hail
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 10:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Al-Arabi SC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 6-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 3-2 | Stars League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-2 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Al-Gharafa wins, 0 draws, 0 Al-Arabi SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC 1-2 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 2-1 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Al-Arabi SC 1-3 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Al-Gharafa 3-1 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Al-Arabi SC 0-1 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Al-Gharafa 5-4 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Gharafa on Jan 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Arabi SC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Al-Arabi SC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Gharafa sit 10th in Stars League (6 points from 7 matches) and Al-Arabi SC sit 4th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Arabi SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Arabi SC the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Al-Gharafa.
- Where and when is Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi SC played?
- Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi SC is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.