Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium), Doha
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Gharafa the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Qatar SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Gharafa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,738 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Al-Gharafa (1,667) and Qatar SC (1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Gharafa
4-2-3-1- 90A. Hassan
- 29F. Díaz
- 96A. Ounas
- 8Y. Brahimi
- 10I. Bennacer
- 13F. Sassi
- 4S. Sano
- 23Saifeldeen Hassan Fadlalla
- 18Ayoub Al Oui
- 6Dame Traoré
- 1Khalifa Ababacar
Qatar SC
4-4-2- 9João Pedro
- 11Y. Boli
- 24N. Mason
- 6Pau Prim
- 14Said Brahmi
- 7F. Selemani
- 40S. F. Diouf
- 21Abdullah Marafee
- 4A. Saoudi
- 20Eisa Palangi
- 17A. N. Mahmoud
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Qatar SC have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 0-0 | Stars League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(home) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Al Riffa(away) | 1-4 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 3-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(home) | 0-3 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Gharafa wins, 1 draw, 2 Qatar SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Qatar SC 2-0 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Qatar SC 3-2 Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 2-1 Qatar SC | Stars League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 4-2 Qatar SC | Stars League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Qatar SC 1-3 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| May 19, 2024 | Qatar SC 2-2 Al-Gharafa | Emir Cup |
Last archived meeting: Qatar SC vs Al-Gharafa on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qatar SC score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Qatar SC | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Gharafa sit 10th in Stars League (6 points from 7 matches) and Qatar SC sit 11th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Gharafa the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Qatar SC.
- Where and when is Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC played?
- Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC is played on October 30, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.