Al-Arabi SC vs Qatar SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium), Doha
The Footlab model makes Al-Arabi SC the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Qatar SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Arabi SC vs Qatar SC?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Al-Arabi SC (1,722) and Qatar SC (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Arabi SC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Qatar SC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-4 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-4 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(home) | 1-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 1-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 1-4 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al-Arabi SC win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Qatar SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC 1-1 Qatar SC | Stars League |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC 2-2 Qatar SC | QSL Cup |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Qatar SC 1-5 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Al-Arabi SC 4-1 Qatar SC | QSL Cup |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Qatar SC 0-0 Al-Arabi SC | Stars League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Qatar SC 0-0 Al-Arabi SC | QSL Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Arabi SC vs Qatar SC on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Arabi SC score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qatar SC score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Arabi SC | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Qatar SC | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Arabi SC sit 5th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Qatar SC sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Arabi SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Qatar SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Arabi SC vs Qatar SC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Arabi SC the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Qatar SC.
- Where and when is Al-Arabi SC vs Qatar SC played?
- Al-Arabi SC vs Qatar SC is played on September 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.