Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), ad-Dōha (Doha)
The Footlab model makes Al-Rayyan SC the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Al Ahli Doha. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha?
Al-Rayyan SC starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Rayyan SC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Al Ahli Doha have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 1-0 | Stars League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 0-3 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | UMM Salal(away) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 1-5 | AFC Champions League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Rayyan SC win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Al Ahli Doha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC 2-1 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 0-3 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| May 18, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 0-3 Al-Rayyan SC | Emir Cup |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Al Ahli Doha 1-0 Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Al Ahli Doha 3-2 Al-Rayyan SC | QSL Cup |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Al-Rayyan SC 2-2 Al Ahli Doha | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Rayyan SC score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ahli Doha score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Rayyan SC | 2.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Rayyan SC sit 4th in Stars League (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Ahli Doha sit 11th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Rayyan SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Rayyan SC the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Al Ahli Doha.
- Where and when is Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha played?
- Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha is played on September 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.