Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al Riyadh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Diriyah wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh?
On Elo ratings, Al Diriyah has 1,827 points and Al Riyadh 1,747.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Diriyah
5-3-2- 29D. Núñez
- 14Óscar Rodríguez
- 5I. Gueye
- 20E. Millot
- 10A. Boulbina
- 99C. Mbemba
- 2Abdulaziz Al Faraj
- 19B. Djimsiti
- 16Hussain Al Sibyani
- 87Qassem Lajami
- 22N. Vasilj
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1- 11H. Al Ali
- 10T. Okou
- 22V. Lekhal
- 14Essam Bahri
- 6K. Keita
- 43B. Mensah
- 12Sulaiman Hazazi
- 26R. Abascal
- 2Sultan Alessa
- 67Mohammed Al Khaibari
- 82M. Borjan
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Diriyah have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Al Riyadh have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Al-Fayha(away) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 2-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-5 | Pro League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 1-0 | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Diriyah score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Riyadh score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Diriyah | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Riyadh | 1.2 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Diriyah sit 9th in Pro League (11 points from 8 matches) and Al Riyadh sit 12th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Diriyah the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Al Riyadh.
- Where and when is Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh played?
- Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh is played on October 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.