Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Al Diriyah. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Ittihad FC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Ittihad FC starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Ittihad FC
4-2-3-1- 99G. Ilenikhena
- 34S. Bergwijn
- 30D. Lopy
- 27Ahmed Al Ghamdi
- 10H. Aouar
- 5R. Rios
- 25F. Abdi
- 2Danilo Pereira
- 15Hassan Kadesh
- 13Muhannad Al Shanqiti
- 1P. Rajković
Al Diriyah
4-3-3- 17C. Diandy
- 29D. Núñez
- 10A. Boulbina
- 5I. Gueye
- 20E. Millot
- 88Abdulelah Al Malki
- 99C. Mbemba
- 2Abdulaziz Al Faraj
- 19B. Djimsiti
- 16Hussain Al Sibyani
- 22N. Vasilj
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ittihad FC have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Al Diriyah have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 1-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Al-Faisaly FC(away) | 3-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al-Nassr(home) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al-Fateh(away) | 2-1 | Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(home) | 0-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 3-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ittihad FC score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Diriyah score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad FC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Al Diriyah | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ittihad FC sit 2nd in Pro League (17 points from 7 matches) and Al Diriyah sit 8th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Al Diriyah.
- Where and when is Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah played?
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah is played on October 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.