Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
The Footlab model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Lusail City. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City?
Al-Duhail SC starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Duhail SC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lusail City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Sailiya(home) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| May 5, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 1-4 | Emir Cup |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 4-0 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 2-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 0-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-1 | Stars League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 1-2 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Duhail SC score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lusail City score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Duhail SC | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lusail City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Duhail SC sit 2nd in Stars League (3 points from 1 matches) and Lusail City sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Duhail SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lusail City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Duhail SC the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Lusail City.
- Where and when is Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City played?
- Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City is played on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.