Lusail City vs Al-Arabi SC: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al-Arabi SC the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Lusail City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lusail City vs Al-Arabi SC?
Al-Arabi SC starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusail City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Al-Arabi SC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-1 | Stars League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 1-2 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | NEOM(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 0-4 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-4 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lusail City win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Al-Arabi SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | Al-Arabi SC 6-1 Lusail City | QSL Cup |
| May 8, 2022 | Lusail City 2-3 Al-Arabi SC | QFA Cup |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Al-Arabi SC 1-3 Lusail City | QFA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al-Arabi SC vs Lusail City on Oct 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lusail City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Arabi SC score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusail City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Al-Arabi SC | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lusail City sit 10th in Stars League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al-Arabi SC sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Arabi SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Lusail City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lusail City vs Al-Arabi SC?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Arabi SC the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Lusail City.
- Where and when is Lusail City vs Al-Arabi SC played?
- Lusail City vs Al-Arabi SC is played on December 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.