Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Seliah Stadium, Ar-Rayyan
The Footlab model makes Al Sadd the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Al Shahaniya. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd?
Al Sadd starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shahaniya have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Al Sadd have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-2 | Stars League |
| May 8, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 3-0 | Stars League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Stars League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(home) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 3-1 | Stars League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 1-4 | Emir Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 4-1 | Emir Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Al Shahaniya win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Al Sadd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Al Sadd 4-0 Al Shahaniya | Stars League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Al Sadd 1-2 Al Shahaniya | QSL Cup |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Al Shahaniya 1-0 Al Sadd | Stars League |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Al Shahaniya 0-5 Al Sadd | Stars League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Al Sadd 4-2 Al Shahaniya | Stars League |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Al Sadd 5-1 Al Shahaniya | Emir Cup |
Last archived meeting: Al Sadd vs Al Shahaniya on Feb 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shahaniya score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Sadd score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shahaniya | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Sadd | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shahaniya sit 9th in Stars League (0 points from 1 matches) and Al Sadd sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Sadd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Shahaniya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd?
- The Footlab model makes Al Sadd the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Al Shahaniya.
- Where and when is Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd played?
- Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd is played on October 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Seliah Stadium, in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.