Al-Gharafa B vs Al Shamal II: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Al-Gharafa B the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Al Shamal II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Gharafa B vs Al Shamal II?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Al-Gharafa B (1,490) and Al Shamal II (1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa B have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Al Shamal II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 3, 2017 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-6 | Second Division |
| Mar 8, 2017 | Umm Salal B(home) | 10-1 | Second Division |
| Mar 5, 2017 | El Jaish SC B(home) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Al Shahaniya II(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 17, 2015 | Al Sailiya B(home) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 13, 2015 | Umm Salal B(away) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| Mar 31, 2015 | Al Arabi SC B(home) | 0-0 | Second Division |
| Mar 27, 2015 | Al Khor B(away) | 2-2 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Al-Gharafa B win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Al Shamal II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | Al-Gharafa B 4-0 Al Shamal II | Second Division |
Last archived meeting: Al-Gharafa B vs Al Shamal II on Mar 7, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa B score 2.3 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shamal II score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa B | 2.3 | 3.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Al Shamal II | 0.8 | 2.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Gharafa B sit 5th in Second Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Shamal II sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Gharafa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Al Shamal II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Gharafa B vs Al Shamal II?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Gharafa B the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Al Shamal II.
- Where and when is Al-Gharafa B vs Al Shamal II played?
- Al-Gharafa B vs Al Shamal II is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.