Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Seliah Stadium, Ar-Rayyan
The Footlab model makes Al Mesaimeer the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Al Waab. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Al Mesaimeer (1,563) and Al Waab (1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Mesaimeer have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Al Waab have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 1-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 0-2 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(away) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al-Markhiya(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 1-3 | QSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Mesaimeer win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Al Waab win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer 3-0 Al Waab | Second Division |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Al Waab 3-1 Al Mesaimeer | QSL Cup |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Al Waab 2-4 Al Mesaimeer | Second Division |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Al Waab 1-1 Al Mesaimeer | QSL Cup |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Al Waab 1-2 Al Mesaimeer | Second Division |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Al Mesaimeer 1-1 Al Waab | Second Division |
Last archived meeting: Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Mesaimeer score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Waab score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Mesaimeer | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Waab | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Mesaimeer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab?
- The Footlab model makes Al Mesaimeer the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Al Waab.
- Where and when is Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab played?
- Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Seliah Stadium, in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.