Al-Markhiya vs UMM Salal: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), Al-Wakra
The Footlab AI model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Al-Markhiya. The most likely score is 1-1. If UMM Salal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Markhiya vs UMM Salal?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Al-Markhiya (1,663) and UMM Salal (1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Markhiya vs UMM Salal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Markhiya
4-3-3- 9Lucão
- 22Rúben Lameiras
- 77H. Sanhaji
- 8S. Cola
- 7A. Aboutrika
- 11Rodrigo Tabata
- 23N. Sarr
- 3N. Rahman
- 16E. El Sadeq
- 6M. Abdullah
- 33R. Kwasigroch
UMM Salal
4-2-3-1- 17J. Kouassi
- 14O. Tannane
- 10M. Baidoo
- 8Salem Al Hajri
- 6J. Aholou
- 32Ahmed El Sayed
- 22E. Udosen
- 2A. Fayez
- 19N. Laidouni
- 15A. Tahif
- 48I. R. Hamadeh
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Markhiya have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; UMM Salal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Rayyan SC B(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Gharafa B(away) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 2-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Khor(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 2-1 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Markhiya win, 3 draws, 2 UMM Salal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Al-Markhiya 1-1 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Dec 8, 2023 | UMM Salal 1-1 Al-Markhiya | Stars League |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Al-Markhiya 2-3 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Feb 25, 2023 | UMM Salal 1-2 Al-Markhiya | Stars League |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Al-Markhiya 1-2 UMM Salal | QFA Cup |
| Apr 8, 2018 | UMM Salal 1-1 Al-Markhiya | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Markhiya vs UMM Salal on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Markhiya score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UMM Salal score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Markhiya | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| UMM Salal | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Markhiya sit 1st in Second Division (12 points from 4 matches) and UMM Salal sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Markhiya | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | UMM Salal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Al-Markhiya vs UMM Salal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Markhiya vs UMM Salal?
- The Footlab AI model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Al-Markhiya.
- Where and when is Al-Markhiya vs UMM Salal played?
- Al-Markhiya vs UMM Salal is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.