Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), Al-Wakra
The Footlab AI model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Al Mesaimeer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al-Markhiya wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,700 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer?
Al-Markhiya starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,669 vs 1,533).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al-Markhiya
4-3-3- 9Lucão
- 22Rúben Lameiras
- 77H. Sanhaji
- 8S. Cola
- 7A. Aboutrika
- 11Rodrigo Tabata
- 23N. Sarr
- 3N. Rahman
- 16E. El Sadeq
- 6M. Abdullah
- 33R. Kwasigroch
Al Mesaimeer
4-3-3- 9Jassim Al Jalabi
- 10I. Thiam
- 77G. Gama
- 8M. Adjaoudi
- 6M. Djenidi
- 19M. Abbasi
- 15Youssef Hassan
- 5I. Donkor
- 94Ali Malolah
- 26H. Sayed
- 31A. Aziz
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 09:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Markhiya have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al Mesaimeer have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 3-1 | Second Division |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Rayyan SC B(away) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al-Gharafa B(away) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Gharafa B(home) | 5-0 | Second Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Al-Gharafa(away) | 2-4 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | UMM Salal(home) | 1-2 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Markhiya wins, 2 draws, 1 Al Mesaimeer win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer 0-0 Al-Markhiya | Second Division |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Al-Markhiya 2-1 Al Mesaimeer | Emir Cup |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Al-Markhiya 2-1 Al Mesaimeer | Second Division |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Al-Markhiya 1-2 Al Mesaimeer | Emir Cup |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Al Mesaimeer 0-0 Al-Markhiya | Second Division |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Al-Markhiya 2-1 Al Mesaimeer | Second Division |
Last archived meeting: Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Markhiya on Feb 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Markhiya score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Al Mesaimeer score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Markhiya | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Al Mesaimeer | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Markhiya sit 1st in Second Division (12 points from 4 matches) and Al Mesaimeer sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Markhiya | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Al Mesaimeer | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Al Mesaimeer.
- Where and when is Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer played?
- Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer is played on November 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.