Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), Al-Wakra
The Footlab model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Al Mesaimeer. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Al-Markhiya (1,660) and Al Mesaimeer (1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Markhiya have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Al Mesaimeer have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 0-2 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Al Waab(away) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 3-4 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 1-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 1-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Al Waab(home) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lusail City(away) | 0-3 | Second Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 0-2 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al-Markhiya win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Al Mesaimeer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer 0-0 Al-Markhiya | Second Division |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Al-Markhiya 2-1 Al Mesaimeer | Emir Cup |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Al-Markhiya 2-1 Al Mesaimeer | Second Division |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Al-Markhiya 1-2 Al Mesaimeer | Emir Cup |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Al Mesaimeer 0-0 Al-Markhiya | Second Division |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Al-Markhiya 2-1 Al Mesaimeer | Second Division |
Last archived meeting: Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Markhiya on Feb 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Markhiya score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Mesaimeer score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Markhiya | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Mesaimeer | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Markhiya sit 1st in Second Division (3 points from 1 matches) and Al Mesaimeer sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Markhiya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Mesaimeer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Markhiya the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Al Mesaimeer.
- Where and when is Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer played?
- Al-Markhiya vs Al Mesaimeer is played on November 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.