Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal: result 2-1 and analysis
Emir CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on May 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium), Doha
Full time
What was the result of Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal?
Al-Gharafa won 2-1 on May 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′M. BaidooUMM Salal
- 18′Ahmed Al GanehiAl-Gharafa
- 32′F. SassiAl-Gharafa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Gharafa have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; UMM Salal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(home) | 1-1 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Wakrah(away) | 3-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al-Duhail SC(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-4 | Stars League |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Ahli Doha(home) | 1-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 0-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Al Shamal(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Al-Rayyan SC(away) | 3-3 | QSL Cup |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Al Bidda SC(home) | 2-0 | QSL Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Al-Gharafa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 UMM Salal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | UMM Salal 2-3 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 4-2 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| May 19, 2025 | Al-Gharafa 4-2 UMM Salal | Emir Cup |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UMM Salal 0-1 Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Al-Gharafa 3-1 UMM Salal | Stars League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | UMM Salal 5-0 Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup |
Last archived meeting: UMM Salal vs Al-Gharafa on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Gharafa score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; UMM Salal score 1.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| UMM Salal | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy