UMM Salal vs Al Bidda SC: prediction and stats
Second DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), Doha
The Footlab AI model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Al Bidda SC. The most likely score is 1-1. If UMM Salal wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UMM Salal vs Al Bidda SC?
UMM Salal starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,515).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UMM Salal vs Al Bidda SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UMM Salal
4-2-3-1- 17J. Kouassi
- 14O. Tannane
- 10M. Baidoo
- 8Salem Al Hajri
- 6J. Aholou
- 32Ahmed El Sayed
- 22E. Udosen
- 2A. Fayez
- 19N. Laidouni
- 15A. Tahif
- 48I. R. Hamadeh
Al Bidda SC
4-3-3- 17A. Tiku
- 15S. Hussein Athab
- 7Cristian
- 8Javi Martínez
- 10A. Nouri
- 28E. Marcel
- 5D. M. Traore
- 16Malik Hassan
- 2Mahmoud Tawfiq
- 19K. Bauobida
- 1F. Sidklev
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UMM Salal have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Bidda SC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Al-Khor(away) | 2-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Al Kharaitiyat(home) | 1-0 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al-Khor(home) | 1-5 | Second Division |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Al Mesaimeer(away) | 2-1 | Second Division |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Qatar U23(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 0-1 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Al Shamal(home) | 0-4 | QSL Cup |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Al Shamal II(away) | 3-0 | Second Division |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Qatar U23(home) | 2-0 | Second Division |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Al-Gharafa B(home) | 1-1 | Second Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 UMM Salal wins, 0 draws, 0 Al Bidda SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | UMM Salal 2-0 Al Bidda SC | QSL Cup |
| May 7, 2024 | UMM Salal 3-1 Al Bidda SC | Emir Cup |
Last archived meeting: UMM Salal vs Al Bidda SC on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UMM Salal score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Al Bidda SC score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMM Salal | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Bidda SC | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UMM Salal sit 7th in Second Division (4 points from 3 matches) and Al Bidda SC sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Bidda SC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | UMM Salal | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
A question about UMM Salal vs Al Bidda SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UMM Salal vs Al Bidda SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes UMM Salal the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Al Bidda SC.
- Where and when is UMM Salal vs Al Bidda SC played?
- UMM Salal vs Al Bidda SC is played on October 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Suheim Bin Hamad Stadium (Qatar SC Stadium), in the Second Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.