Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fateh: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 25, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
The Footlab model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fateh?
Al-Ittihad FC starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (2,009 vs 1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Ittihad FC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Al-Fateh have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Al-Hazm(home) | 3-2 | Pro League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Qadisiyah FC(away) | 1-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Kholood(home) | 1-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 4-1 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Al-Ittihad FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Al-Fateh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | Al-Fateh 2-2 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Al-Ittihad FC 4-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-0 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Al-Ittihad FC 2-0 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Al-Fateh 2-4 Al-Ittihad FC | Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC on Jan 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Ittihad FC score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad FC | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Ittihad FC sit 2nd in Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and Al-Fateh sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Ittihad FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fateh?
- The Footlab model makes Al-Ittihad FC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fateh played?
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fateh is played on February 25, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at King Abdullah Sports City, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.