Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon: prediction and stats
Pro LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, Al-Hasa
The Footlab model makes Al Taawon the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Al-Fateh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon?
Al Taawon starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al-Fateh have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Al Taawon have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(home) | 0-1 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Al Ula(away) | 0-3 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 0-3 | Pro League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Al Kholood(away) | 2-3 | Pro League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Damac(away) | 3-0 | King's Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 0-0 | Pro League |
| May 21, 2026 | Al-Hazm(away) | 0-2 | Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Al-Fateh win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Al Taawon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Al Taawon 3-2 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Al-Fateh 2-5 Al Taawon | Pro League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Al-Fateh 1-2 Al Taawon | Pro League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Al Taawon 2-0 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Al Taawon 1-3 Al-Fateh | Pro League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Al-Fateh 1-1 Al Taawon | Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al-Fateh score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Al Taawon score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fateh | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Taawon | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al-Fateh sit 18th in Pro League (0 points from 2 matches) and Al Taawon sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Taawon | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | Al-Fateh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon?
- The Footlab model makes Al Taawon the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Al-Fateh.
- Where and when is Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon played?
- Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon is played on March 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium, in the Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.